Limits of floats: the role of foreign currency debt and import structure

that they insulate output better from real shocks, because the exchange rate can adjust and stabilize demand for domestic goods through expenditure switching. This argument is weakened in a model with high foreign currency debt and low exchange rate pass through to import prices. We analyze the transmission of real external shocks to the domestic economy under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes for a broad sample of countries in a Panel VAR and let the responses vary with foreign currency indebtedness and import structure. We find that flexible exchange rates do not insulate output better from external shocks if the country imports mainly low pass-through goods and can even amplify the output response if foreign indebtedness is high.


Publication infos:
Geneva, The Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies, 2010
Publication year:
2010
Number of pages:
37 p.
Collection:
HEID Working Paper ; 1/2010



 Record created 2011-08-08, last modified 2019-08-05

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