@article{Zeitoun:301759,
      recid = {301759},
      author = {Zeitoun, Mark},
      title = {Interpretation of the Foresight report 'Migration and  Global Environmental Change' for the Middle East and North  Africa (until end 2011)},
      publisher = {The School of International Development, University of  East Anglia},
      address = {Norwich. 2015},
      number = {BOOK},
      series = {DEV Working Paper Series ; 51},
      pages = {23 pages : illustrations},
      year = {2015},
      abstract = {This document interprets the Foresight Report Migration  and Global Environmental Change (‘the Report) for the  Middle East and North Africa region.1 The Report examines  the influence that environmental change (‘EC’) has on five  drivers of migration: economic, social, political,  demographic, and environmental. It emphasises that the  primary driver globally is economic, implying policy  responses focused on decreasing the vulnerability of  livelihoods. This interpretation summarises and interprets  the Report’s findings for the MENA region until end 2011,  and draws a number of key messages. The main drivers of  migration are political and economic, for instance, not  environmental. Many people throughout the region remain  ‘trapped’ by politics or economics, while the possibilities  of migration to reduce vulnerability are squandered by a  system that favours exploitation of the most vulnerable.  The primary EC threats in the region are increased  desiccation and sea-level rise, both of which are expected  to continue to impact agricultural livelihoods in  particular. While EC-influenced migration is typically seen  as an additional threat, it can also be a force for  economic and social development in both home and host  communities. It is also found that EC or migration policy  targeting the development of more resilient livelihoods is  well-suited to address the concerns and leverage the  benefits of migration, but will have to confront low  economic growth rates, uncoordinated governance, and  interests vested in the status quo.},
      url = {http://repository.graduateinstitute.ch/record/301759},
}