Files

Action Filename Size Access Description License
Show more files...

Abstract

Whether trade has increased due to the Euro is a question at the heart of lively policy debates and academic research. We revisit the question with a new, more powerful econometric test for end-of-sample breaks to formally identify the timing and duration of the structural break implied by the "Rose effect" on the Euro Area's trade. We find a significant break in 1999Q1 when using a traditional gravity equation, corroborating the general consensus in the literature. However, we find that this break is short lived. Furthermore, we show that the break can be explained both by the marked decrease in real interest rates across the Euro Area and by deepening European institutional integration.

Details

Actions

Preview