@article{Lanz:293931,
      recid = {293931},
      author = {Lanz, Bruno and Dietz, Simon and Swanson, Timothy M},
      title = {Global population growth, technology and Malthusian  constraints: a quantitative growth theoretic perspective},
      publisher = {The Graduate Institute of International and Development  Studies},
      address = {Geneva. 2016},
      number = {BOOK},
      series = {Graduate Institute of International and Development  Studies Working Paper ; no. 04/2016},
      pages = {51 p.},
      year = {2016},
      abstract = {We structurally estimate a two-sector Schumpeterian growth  model with endogenous population and finite land reserves  to study the long-run evolution of global population,  technological progress and the demand for food. The  estimated model closely replicates trajectories for world  population, GDP, sectoral productivity growth and crop land  area from 1960 to 2010. Projections from 2010 onwards show  a slowdown of technological progress, and, because it is a  key determinant of fertility costs, significant population  growth. By 2100 global population reaches 12.4 billion and  agricultural production doubles, but the land constraint  does not bind because of capital investment and  technological progress.},
      url = {http://repository.graduateinstitute.ch/record/293931},
      doi = {https://doi.org/10.71609/iheid-m1rm-rq54},
}